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Asset-Performance Anomaly Detector

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Asset-performance Anomaly Detector

Client: Lamina (Internal R&D Project)
Sector: Solar Asset Performance

Standard monitoring for solar assets is excellent at detecting total failures, but it consistently misses the subtle, cumulative underperformance that quietly costs asset owners 2-5% in power output, and millions in lost revenue. To solve this, Lamina developed a sophisticated analysis engine that uses a dual-model approach for high resolution accuracy and performance monitoring.

A physics-based model calculates your asset’s theoretical maximum output based on its specific hardware (panels, inverters) and high-fidelity meteorological data providing a performance benchmark. Simultaneously, a machine learning model (XGBoost) learns the asset’s unique, real-world performance signature from its own historical performance data, generating a high resolution, bespoke predictive model.

By forensically comparing the actual output against both the “perfect-world” theoretical model and the “real-world” learned benchmark, our system can precisely identify and diagnose a full spectrum of hidden losses: from long-term degradation to specific anomalies like soiling, clipping, or intermittent faults.

This transforms raw operational data into a clear, actionable report on recoverable revenue, forming the core of our “Hidden Yield-Loss Analysis” service.

The Challenge

Multi-million-pound renewable energy portfolios don’t lose money from obvious system failures. They lose it from subtle, compounding underperformance that standard monitoring systems miss entirely. Asset managers know when a system goes offline, but they can’t answer the expensive questions: Is this asset producing 100% of its potential today? Has gradual soiling reduced portfolio output by 2% this quarter? Are inverters clipping revenue during peak hours?

Traditional analysis requires weeks of manual data exports and spreadsheet work. It’s inefficient, expensive, and often inconclusive. The result: millions in preventable losses drain quietly through solvable problems.

The Solution

To solve hidden underperformance, we built the Asset-Performance Anomaly Detector. Our proprietary detection engine establishes precise performance benchmarks using multiple validation methods for solar PV assets.

The system identifies, diagnoses, and quantifies every source of lost revenue, delivering clear intelligence for immediate action.

Our Technology Stack Each tool serves a specific purpose in delivering reliable results:

  • XGBoost: Machine learning framework for accurate performance predictions under varying conditions.
  • Solcast API: Bankable solar and weather data validated against ground measurements.
  • InfluxDB: Time-series database optimized for processing high-frequency operational data.
  • Grafana: Interactive dashboards for visualizing performance deviations and trends.
  • Python: Core automation engine connecting all system components.

The Impact

Uncover Recoverable Revenue

We translate subtle performance issues like soiling and degradation into a clear, quantifiable estimate of recoverable revenue.

Gain Diagnostic Clarity

Our analysis moves beyond simple alerts to diagnose the specific root cause of any performance issue, telling you exactly where to focus your efforts.

Empower Data-Driven Decisions

Receive a professional, data-backed report that provides the clear business case and ROI justification needed to get maintenance approved.

Establish a True Performance Baseline

We create a highly accurate “digital twin” of your asset’s potential, providing a true performance benchmark for all future monitoring and financial forecasting.

Beyond the Report: Continuous Performance Monitoring

While our “Hidden Yield-Loss Analysis” provides a definitive look at past performance, the ultimate goal is to prevent future losses before they impact your bottom line.

The same powerful analysis engine used for this project can be deployed as an Ongoing Monitoring & Alerting System for your assets. This automated system works in real-time to detect new anomalies the moment they occur, providing your team with immediate notifications to ensure small issues are addressed before they become significant financial losses.

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Unlock your assets' hidden potential

You'll love working with Lamina if...

✅ You manage renewable energy assets worth protecting and optimising

✅ You believe in data-driven decisions over gut instinct

✅ You value engineering precision in performance analysis

✅ You’re ready to turn uncertainty into quantified opportunities

Let's reveal what your data is hiding

📞 Call us

UK: 07954 113990

📧 Email us

georgecooper@lamina-ai.co.uk

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